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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Lula202626 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | no settled market | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | — | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #622 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (13 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 64% (185 of 290 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 2 at avg 55¢, ROI +54% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 0% | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Lula202626 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Alexander Zverev $12K | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $53K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Alex Michelsen $9.5K | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Martin Damm $420 | — | — | Tom Gentzsch $2.0K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | — | — | No $6.5K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | — | No $4.4K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | Thiago Agustin Tirante $14K | — | — | Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $16K | — | — | No $5.3K |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | — | No $6.8K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $513 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $315 | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $371 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $81 |