Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JoeyAroyyOOndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)47% (72–81, n=153)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$26K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #344PM monthly #150PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (17 of 24 open)43% (3 of 7 open)74% (35 of 47 open)64% (127 of 200 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +51 pts n=69, ROI +53%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 69 at avg 49¢, ROI +53%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)1% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)52% (won 100% of 36)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)45% (won 100% of 31)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)1% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JoeyAroyyOOndb1RN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265K—No $234KNo $6.5K
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11K—Over $136
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357——Under $157
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $208—Under $114
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268K——No $6.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K——Daniil Medvedev $36K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $5.3K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K——Laura Samson $5.5K
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.2K—Over $90
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155——Under $2.7K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251——Under $379
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81