Consensus PnL -$27K · win rate 49% (71–74, n=145) · PM monthly #312 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-26.5K
Record
71W / 74L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 145 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2017
Source
PM monthly #312
Record (90 d)
83/83 · 100%
Trades
657
Markets
154
Volume
$664.1K
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Specialties
60 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+51 pts
side won 100% of 60 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +53%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 53%(won 100% of 32)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 100% of 26)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.