Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Jesetradingjoseph00677UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)74% (628–218, n=846)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$8.3K$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #906PM monthly #2PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)64% (56 of 87 open)no open consensus position67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)21% (won 15% of 92)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)8% (won 44% of 34)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)7% (won 87% of 31)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)64% (won 95% of 284)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Jesetradingjoseph00677UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $15K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56Yes $9.4K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $275——
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $160KNo $1.8K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51KYes $198——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $107Yes $418——