← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–38, n=74) | 40% (4–6, n=10) | 42% (113–156, n=269) | 69% (307–141, n=448) |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | $1.5K | $256K | -$44K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #631 | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Esports ±0 pts, n=472 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 55% of 477 at avg 55¢, ROI −4% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 23% (won 4% of 109) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 16% (won 27% of 74) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 69% of 128) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 35% (won 92% of 166) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $360 | — | Arthur Rinderknech $35K | Arthur Rinderknech $25K |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $48K | — | Jazz $18K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | — | — | Lorenzo Sonego $83K | Lorenzo Sonego $55K |
| Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas | Pavlos Tsitsipas $3 | — | Pavlos Tsitsipas $18K | — |
| Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier | — | — | Adrien Gobat $4.1K | Adrien Gobat $92 |