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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmrandomrandomrandom
Record (consensus markets)55% (17–14, n=31)49% (33–34, n=67)75% (9–3, n=12)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$239K$35K$84K—
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #40was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus58% (15 of 26 open)71% (178 of 252 open)no open consensus position43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%69% of 112 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)12% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 60% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)31% (won 57% of 35)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)35% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmrandomrandomrandom
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $10K——Yes $38K
Altamura Societa' Sportiva SRL vs. Cavese 1919: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $15KUnder $1.2K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $7.8KTomas Etcheverry $6.4K——
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $58KClement Tabur $2.8K——
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs
same side · consensus Moise Kouame
Moise Kouame $19KMoise Kouame $1.5K——
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10K——No $1.8K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1KYes $2.7K——