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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | papaebal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 80% (120–30, n=150) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $4.6M | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #886 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 65% (200 of 309 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 132 at avg 53¢, ROI +43% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 9% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 35% (won 93% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 90% of 50) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 18% (won 96% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | papaebal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.9K | Lakers $606 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $3.0K | Bulls $156 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | Grizzlies $595 | — | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $793 | Lakers $31 | — | — |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Blackhawks $2 | Panthers $400 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | Thunder $3.8K | — | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $16K | Suns $1.5K | — | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.4K | Thunder $8.8K | — | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $11K | Sacramento State $215 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | Raptors $566 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets same side · consensus Nets | Nets $571 | Nets $5.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Pacers $3.9K | — | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | Under $2.3K | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $82 | Over $1.4K | — | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Timberwolves $237 | Timberwolves $127 | — | — |