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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $4.1M | $7.5K | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #934 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (20 of 33 open) | 66% (74 of 112 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $15K | Under $222 | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $251K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $254K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $14K | Mavericks $487 | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.1K | Yes $2.7K | — | — |