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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messi
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)57% (1110–846, n=1956)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$4.1M$84K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #9was PM monthly #787
Sides with the consensus52% (16 of 31 open)72% (91 of 127 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 403)28% (won 12% of 436)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 38% of 160)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 225)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)40% (won 94% of 553)47% (won 97% of 716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messi
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $15KUnder $222—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $147K—Bilibili Gaming $65
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $645Yes $19K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1KYes $2.7K—