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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messindb1
Record (consensus markets)54% (4944–4167, n=9111)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)56% (1149–904, n=2053)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$1.4M$75K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14was PM monthly #787PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)71% (95 of 134 open)no open consensus position71% (68 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1599 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 403)29% (won 12% of 457)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 39% of 167)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 234)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)40% (won 94% of 553)46% (won 97% of 741)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messindb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1KYes $2.7K——
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TheChampionGG (BO3) - United21 Group C
same side · consensus STATE
STATE $26STATE $119——
Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs Prestige (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
same side · consensus Prestige
Prestige $46Prestige $3——