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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighUdonsan
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)75% (730–246, n=976)45% (192–239, n=431)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL-$292K$69K$36K$364
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43was PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)66% (51 of 77 open)64% (9 of 14 open)92% (11 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 88¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)0%
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)100% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighUdonsan
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $94KG2 $2G2 $482—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $463—
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $1.3K—G2 $107—
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $409Under $1—
W15 Maanshan: Xinle Geng vs Xichen Zhao
same side · consensus Xinle Geng
—Xinle Geng $262Xinle Geng $317—
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder
same side · consensus Perth Scorchers
—Sydney Thunder $23Sydney Thunder $50—
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
same side · consensus Rwanda Women
—Rwanda Women $8Rwanda Women $50—