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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677soapbubbles
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)82% (14–3, n=17)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$5.6M$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #767
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)63% (261 of 412 open)no open consensus position60% (9 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)71% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677soapbubbles
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86KNo $100K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22KMatteo Berrettini $7.9K——
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1KNo $23K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $15K——
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4KLaura Samson $596——
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $318No $5.6K——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $40——