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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 95% (93–5, n=98) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $95K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #555 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 68% (182 of 269 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.5K | Lakers $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $735 | Lakers $122 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | Thunder $7.5K | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $81K | Nuggets $3.7K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $50K | — | Yes $10K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $34K | Sacramento State $215 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $9.0K | Spurs $956 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | Raptors $524 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Pacers $6.0K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $274 | Spurs $945 | — |