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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 93% (108–8, n=116) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $1.4M | $118K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #556 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (8 of 18 open) | 91% (31 of 34 open) | 64% (100 of 157 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 98% of 113 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 2% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 98% (won 98% of 111) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $15K | Bills $77 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |