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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpLFOA95ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)100% (1–0, n=1)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$15K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22was PM monthly #979PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)79% (231 of 292 open)no open consensus position72% (69 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)100% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)0%43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpLFOA95ndb1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23KNo $43K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.3K——
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321Yes $6.3K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $54K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $55K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $62K——
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $58K——
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $8.1K——
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $5.6K——
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $3.5K——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4KUnder $1.3K——
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $99No $2.3K——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $2.4K——