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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHawk.liveprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)55% (295–239, n=534)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$19K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22was PM monthly #968PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)75% (190 of 253 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports ±0 pts, n=514—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)23% (won 4% of 121)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)15% (won 28% of 79)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)25% (won 68% of 128)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)37% (won 92% of 192)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHawk.liveprimm
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $22KCasper Ruud $43K——
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $31K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.1K——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $178Over $341——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $206KYes $41K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $51K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $47K——
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $3.1K——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $1.8K——
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $403——