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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $197K | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #211 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 50% (22 of 44 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 283 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 50% of 28) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 55% (won 97% of 155) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $23 | Yes $9.0K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | Yes $10K | — | — |