Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)64% (105–59, n=164)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M-$5.9K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #683PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)no open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Esports +22 pts n=33, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=29, ROI +12%
  • NBA +26 pts n=12, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%94% of 85 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)8% (won 86% of 7)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)33% (won 93% of 28)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)59% (won 96% of 50)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02primmRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K——Jaguars $8.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $2.0K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $775
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.0KOver $1.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $890
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $741Under $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $102Jaguars $1.9K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $244
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $510Jaguars $180
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $636
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.2KRavens $765
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $94Ravens $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498