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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)64% (104–59, n=163)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$14K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #65was PM monthly #992PM monthly #46PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (4 of 4 open)54% (30 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)9% (won 86% of 7)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)32% (won 92% of 25)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)59% (won 96% of 46)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02primmRN1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $268KBilibili Gaming $19K——
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K——Alice Tubello $17K