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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)64% (104–59, n=163)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$14K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53was PM monthly #992PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position65% (97 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)9% (won 86% of 7)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)32% (won 92% of 25)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)59% (won 96% of 46)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02joseph00677RN1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33KBilibili Gaming $19K——
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23K——No $19K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12K——Under $6
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K——Under $11
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321——Yes $18
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96K——No $30K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K——No $20K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $41K
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311——No $918
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43——No $166
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25——PFK CSKA Sofia $43