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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CleanCoinFlipRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)80% (124–31, n=155)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$18K$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #984PM monthly #34 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus50% (13 of 26 open)67% (2 of 3 open)57% (40 of 70 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%83% of 90 at avg 57¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)36% (won 63% of 32)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)6% (won 60% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)7% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)52% (won 98% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CleanCoinFlipRN1weflyhigh
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
Tatjana Maria $14K—Luisina Giovannini $51K—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $44K—Clement Tabur $25K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $2.9K—Max Dahlin $1.9K—
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.6K—Pistons $201—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes $1—Max Houkes $698—