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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | strider- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 88% (72–10, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.6M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #782 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 64% (23 of 36 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 15% (won 25% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 7% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 11% (won 78% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 67% (won 100% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | strider- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $957 | Hawks $3.7K | — | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $43 | Jazz $75K | — | — |