← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1128, n=2244) | 67% (181–90, n=271) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (113 of 237 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 12% (won 36% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 14% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 62% (won 99% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $409K | — | Yes $852 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $46K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $64K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $53 | — | — | Yes $2.1K |