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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankndb1Sniper85
Record (consensus markets)55% (21–17, n=38)96% (291–13, n=304)52% (102–94, n=196)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$212K$8.4M$2.7M-$940
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #1PM monthly #111was PM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus61% (20 of 33 open)84% (37 of 44 open)74% (66 of 89 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankndb1Sniper85
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Hawks $43KLakers $20K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $28K——
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $18KBills $9.0K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425KNo $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $70KGrizzlies $188K——
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $239K—Bills $5.0K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26No $41K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——