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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 70% (699–302, n=1001) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 + pinned | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 83% (153 of 185 open) | 61% (68 of 112 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $182K | Yes $22K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.6K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $50K | — | Yes $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $305 | — | — | Spurs $183 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | No $209 | — | No $187 | — |