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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | kinderSman | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3321, n=7860) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 98% (430–7, n=437) | 50% (1114–1128, n=2242) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $161K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 421 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 0% | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 99% (won 100% of 417) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | kinderSman | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $64K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |