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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $15K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (104 of 143 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 0% | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $288 |
| Magic vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $77K | — | — | Suns $4.2K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $55K | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | — | Under $254 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | — | No $499 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.0K | — | Heat $79 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | Ravens $194K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $293 | — | — |
| Utah vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Utah | Utah $8.7K | — | — | Utah $976 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions | East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K | — | — | East Texas A&M Lions $1.3K |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.2K | — | — | Magic $522 |