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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ocr7 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3318, n=7854) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 57% (1100–832, n=1932) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $84K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #763 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 12% of 428) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 10% (won 38% of 156) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 14% (won 75% of 215) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 692) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ocr7 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $337 | Warriors $2.6K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $399K | Warriors $729 | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $64K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |