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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankocr7Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)45% (576–717, n=1293)57% (1101–832, n=1933)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.3M$84K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #771PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus58% (15 of 26 open)88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position75% (211 of 280 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1528 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 12% of 436)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)10% (won 38% of 157)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)15% (won 75% of 225)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 710)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankocr7Flaznorp
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $34K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $238
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $494
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K——Under $943
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31No $48K——
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K——Over $830
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.6K——Over $65
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4KNo $2.3K——
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $3.4K