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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 98% (11784–288, n=12072) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $9.4M | $635K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #263 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 68% (23 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 11110 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 19% of 221) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 50% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 1% (won 57% of 165) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 95% (won 99% of 10521) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | No $88K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $1.0K | — | — |