← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 76% (28–9, n=37) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $190K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #486 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (14 of 27 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 67% (81 of 121 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 83% of 36 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 42% (won 67% of 15) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 33% (won 92% of 12) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $258K | Yes $5.4K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $651K | — | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $92K | No $327K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $17K | Yes $117K | — |