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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $151K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #347 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 59% (89 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $128K | — | — | No $9.1K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $60K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $66K | Yes $5.7K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $45K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $8.6K | — | — | Casper Ruud $6.4K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.3K | — | — | Under $10 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $530 | — | — | Over $501 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $218 | — | — | Yes $11 |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | — | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $73 |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | — | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $78K | Yes $141K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | — | — | Yes $17K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | — | No $28K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | — | — | No $20K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $6.5K | — | — | Under $76 |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | — | — | No $157 |