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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | DegenKingBetter | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 64% (87–50, n=137) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $153K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #486 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 69% (77 of 112 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 68% of 130 at avg 55¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 0% of 6) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 21% (won 67% of 27) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 72% (won 72% of 93) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 3% (won 100% of 4) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | DegenKingBetter | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $4 | Grizzlies $330K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $1.6K | Hawks $2.8K | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $37 | Jazz $61K | — | — |