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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDavidShekel
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3321, n=7860)45% (576–717, n=1293)32% (399–857, n=1256)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$133K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #377
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)88% (22 of 25 open)76% (22 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −3 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)23% (won 18% of 143)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 77% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)15% (won 88% of 94)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)56% (won 99% of 352)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDavidShekel
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $50K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $64K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KYes $245
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $5
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.0KYes $67
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $364Yes $22