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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 65% (98–53, n=151) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.3M | $10K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 81% (13 of 16 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 107 at avg 63¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 11% (won 25% of 12) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 45% of 20) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 25% (won 81% of 27) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 45% (won 94% of 48) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $48K | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $47 | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $31 | — | No $246 | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | Yes $705 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — | — |