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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlphaBetaGamma2357beachboy4Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)51% (434–419, n=853)no settled market52% (6563–6075, n=12638)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$93K—$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #611—PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)63% (12 of 19 open)no open consensus position69% (136 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136MLB −18 pts, n=23—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%49% of 838 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)17% (won 16% of 141)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)40% (won 38% of 338)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)24% (won 59% of 202)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)19% (won 87% of 157)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlphaBetaGamma2357beachboy4Flaznorp
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K——Jaguars $266
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $254
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45Yes $8.4K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $499
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20KNo $2.0K——
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7K——Utah $443
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K——East Texas A&M Lions $1.3K
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2K——Magic $412