← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AMike | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 80% (12–3, n=15) | no settled market | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$3.0K | — | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #726 | — | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (109 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13% | — | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 27% (won 0% of 4) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 33% (won 80% of 5) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 0% | — | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 40% (won 100% of 6) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AMike | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $13K | — | — | Central Michigan $567 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | — | Raptors $246 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan $620 | — | — | Central Michigan $3.8K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $371 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $84 |