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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465739633786BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)55% (100–81, n=181)44% (15–19, n=34)57% (28–21, n=49)74% (1121–390, n=1511)
Consensus PnL-$306K-$5.8K$758K$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #962PM monthly #1PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)75% (161 of 215 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=23, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +51%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +51%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 234 at avg 50¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%0%31% (won 8% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 20)60% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 13)25% (won 46% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 35)40% (won 100% of 6)39% (won 100% of 9)15% (won 68% of 34)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 21)0%4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 68)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465739633786BreakTheBankFlaznorp
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $231K—Ciryl Gane $326K—
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $670——FUT Esports $155
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.4K——Teletubisie $621
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K——No $475
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $95——Vikings $6