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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465237492103894712349Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)87% (33–5, n=38)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$33K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #90was PM monthly #940PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)no open consensus position64% (202 of 314 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%81% of 31 at avg 69¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 67% of 3)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)19% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)13% (won 75% of 4)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)58% (won 89% of 18)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465237492103894712349Flaznorp
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.9K—Lakers $606
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8—Over $5.7K
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0K—Bulls $156
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0K—Grizzlies $595
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902—Eastern Michigan $60
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $793—Lakers $31
Blackhawks vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Blackhawks $2—Panthers $400
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108K—Thunder $3.8K
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16K—Suns $1.5K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $4.4K—Thunder $8.8K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $11K—Sacramento State $215
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K—Raptors $566
Hornets vs. Nets
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $571—Nets $5.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6—Pacers $3.9K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283—Under $2.3K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $82—Over $1.4K
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $237—Timberwolves $127