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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465237492103894712349Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)63% (35–21, n=56)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)63% (988–572, n=1560)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$31K$3.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67was PM monthly #940PM monthly #24PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)50% (1 of 2 open)71% (170 of 239 open)75% (100 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%81% of 31 at avg 69¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 67% of 3)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)19% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)13% (won 75% of 4)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)58% (won 89% of 18)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465237492103894712349Flaznorpndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $67K—Tommy Paul $12K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $370—Alexandra Eala $5.1K—