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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayfantasy7788HomeRunHazardrobustmst0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (481–148, n=629) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 57% (20–15, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $822K | -$140K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #45 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (75 of 126 open) | 53% (9 of 17 open) | 60% (9 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 103 at avg 76¢, ROI +24% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 14) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 36% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 23) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 41% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 64) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $555 | Nets $134K | Nets $69K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.7K | Pacers $2.4K | Pacers $192K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Bucks $230 | — | Lakers $265K |
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $48K | Celtics $31K |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $145 | — | Celtics $21K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $318 | — | Knicks $8.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $325 | Grizzlies $269K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $9 | Grizzlies $24K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $1.1K | Lakers $2.0K | — |