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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abjoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #704PM monthly #3PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)60% (225 of 375 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 7 at avg 81¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0%6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 100% of 1)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 6)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abjoseph00677primmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $797Over $2.1K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.6KUnder $101
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $374
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $142Sacramento State $181
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $205Over $52
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $3.0KUMass $804
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KOver $179
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $2.0KToledo $676
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $1.5KToledo $377
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $438Toledo $773
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $176Toledo $429
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2Toledo $582
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $182Under $11