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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eRN1
Record (consensus markets)73% (1488–538, n=2026)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$97K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #169PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (74 of 110 open)60% (235 of 393 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eRN1
Spread: Hawks (-19.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $2.1KHawks $5
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $83Celtics $485
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $93Over $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $47Bulls $47
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $46Over $27
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0KNo $10K
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5KNo $9.4K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $6Central Michigan $12K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $19Sacramento State $8.3K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K76ers $370
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $27Sabres $1.3K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4Under $830
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Bucks $4Bucks $765
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $21Pelicans $280
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3Over $273
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $4276ers $220
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7Under $252
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $23Pelicans $143
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $74Over $75
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6Over $112
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $8Over $57
Senators vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $5Sabres $51
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Celtics $26Celtics $3
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $15Over $6