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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1
Record (consensus markets)85% (44–8, n=52)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #772PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (36 of 42 open)58% (15 of 26 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136—
Settled positions, side won100% of 41 at avg 73¢, ROI +24%59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 45% of 1746)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 100% of 17)29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 100% of 22)30% (won 91% of 2120)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Antonia Ruzic $2.9KAlexandra Eala $47K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Tommy Paul $220Ben Shelton $25K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.6KYes $51—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $53K—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $911Mai Hontama $19K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Rinky Hijikata $364Rinky Hijikata $3.1K