← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (44–8, n=52) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (20890–20591, n=41481) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #785 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (35 of 41 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 41 at avg 73¢, ROI +24% | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 100% of 17) | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 100% of 22) | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.5K | Yes $46K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5.8K | — | No $15K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | Yes $53 | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $53K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $45 | No $64K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — |