← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | donube | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #109 + pinned | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 80% (142 of 178 open) | 61% (34 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | donube | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $66K | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $45K | No $195 | — |