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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)99% (2656–38, n=2694)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$143K$8.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656was PM monthly #344PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (13 of 26 open)0% (0 of 1 open)64% (185 of 290 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won99% of 2542 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2492)30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Alexander Zverev $12K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Alex Michelsen $9.5K—Carlos Alcaraz $9.1K
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Martin Damm $420—Tom Gentzsch $2.0K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $270K—No $6.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $87K—No $4.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
—Thiago Agustin Tirante $14K—Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $5.3K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $6.8K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.5K—Yes $513
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $315—No $1.1K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $248—Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $194—Over $81