PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xyz.ewwomnibus-076daaBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (13603–13729, n=27332)45% (514–627, n=1141)48% (12107–12936, n=25043)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$3.6M$10.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #18PM monthly #1PM monthly #14 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position47% (14 of 30 open)73% (30 of 41 open)77% (20 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 86% of 2252)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 94% of 4102)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3425)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketxyz.ewwomnibus-076daaBreakTheBankRN1
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Astralis
—Inner Circle Esports $7.5K—Astralis $51K
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—BetBoom Team $86—BetBoom Team $18K
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
—BetBoom Team $21—BetBoom Team $12K
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $268—Under $1.7K
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49—Under $1.4K