PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
warm35657BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (519–636, n=1155)48% (12397–13316, n=25713)62% (389–235, n=624)
Consensus PnL—$10.6M$13.4M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #504PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (64 of 76 open)50% (71 of 143 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=84, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 65¢, ROI +40%98% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24403 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2518)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 100% of 4)35% (won 98% of 188)22% (won 94% of 5440)56% (won 99% of 221)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 4)34% (won 99% of 182)36% (won 99% of 8828)33% (won 100% of 130)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7617)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwarm35657BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——FURIA $76KNemiga $7.7K
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $14KOver $5.0K
Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3Over $5.0K
Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $41Yes $1.4K
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.7KYes $1.7K