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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tescatBreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #966PM monthly #1Hand-pickedPM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)60% (15 of 25 open)46% (16 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5335)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7361)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettescatBreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $39KSpirit $227
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302Arthur Fils $7.7K
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
——Linda Klimovicova $418Gaia Maduzzi $140
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Martyna Kubka $111Mia Ristic $2
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $4.9KMOUZ $4