PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)63% (375–222, n=597)45% (501–606, n=1107)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$4.4M$12.1M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11PM monthly #126PM monthly #1PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (24 of 33 open)51% (19 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)55% (won 99% of 209)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 100% of 128)34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $33K—Spirit $28K
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $12K—Spirit $227
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $3.6K—FURIA $103
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
—Envy $11K—Envy $9